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According to the latest Polymarket odds, the probability of BlackRock's Rick Rieder becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair has risen to 32%, second only to Kevin Wirth's 46%, forming a clear top tier.
My judgment is very clear:
Regardless of who takes the position, it is a structural positive for crypto assets.
Rieder represents Wall Street's asset management system, and is not unfamiliar with Bitcoin, ETFs, and compliant finance; his attitude is more pragmatic.
Wirth leans more towards the market camp, emphasizing financial efficiency and institutional transparency, and is equally friendly to risk assets.
The core is not about "who wins," but about a signal:
The Federal Reserve Chair candidate is beginning to be priced by the market based on "whether it is positive for crypto."
This in itself signifies a shift in the era.
By the time the results are announced, the first phase on the K-line is often already completed. $BTC #特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 #比特币相对黄金进入深度弱势