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The next Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced at 3:00 AM on January 29th, Beijing time, on January 28th.
The current expectation is to keep interest rates unchanged! The probability of a rate cut is currently less than 5%!
According to the latest data from CME "FedWatch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the January 27-28 meeting is about 5%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 95%.
Additionally, according to Polymarket predictions, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is about 2.1%, with a 97.4% chance of no change. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut in March is about 29.6%.
At the start of the new year, don’t always rely on rate cuts to stimulate the market. I believe now is the best market, with intense volatility, where both bulls and bears can profit!
This is the most profitable time for technical traders who follow indicators, so it’s an excellent opportunity for you to improve your trading skills, overtake others in the curve, and establish your own trading system—an ideal moment to break away from the 80% of retail traders!
Don’t let the market confuse you. Stay steady, keep a solid footing, and start a steady wealth growth journey in the new year!
#美联储利率决议预测
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