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#Show my holdings profit#预测市场争议
Brothers, my Bitcoin long position has already run, taking a small profit and securing gains. Let me share my view on cryptocurrencies in 2026. First, based on the annual reports from major institutions at the beginning of the year, there is a consensus that Bitcoin's long-term trend remains optimistic. However, their price forecasts for 2026 are less uniformly bullish compared to 2025. Galaxy believes 2026 will be a year of high volatility, with a possibility of new highs for Bitcoin, but it's not very likely. Fidelity thinks the four-year cycle of Bitcoin has not completely disappeared; the disappearance of this cycle would be a gradual process, with diminishing impact (i.e., smaller pullbacks), but it will never vanish suddenly. In 2026, more institutions will buy Bitcoin, but prices may still decline. They are very optimistic about 2027, expecting a significant rally for Bitcoin. Bitwise believes Bitcoin will break the four-year cycle in 2026 and reach new highs, and they are also very bullish on Ethereum and Solana, expecting substantial gains in 2026. Coinbase predicts that 2026 will be a year of energy accumulation for cryptocurrencies, not reaching new highs but being a key year for improving systems and structures, and confirming the long-term bullish trend for the future. They believe Bitcoin will shift from a high-risk asset to a macro hedge tool this year.
Based on these research reports, Bitcoin will be a highly volatile year with significant divergence of opinions, but the long-term outlook remains very optimistic. Therefore, my operational strategy this year is first to reduce leverage, second to be more cautious and selective, focusing only on high-confidence opportunities. Additionally, I believe it is necessary to prepare for long-term bullish holdings, so my main approach this year is to adjust positions with profit-taking as a secondary goal.