U.S. stocks closed on Monday, with the Dow initially up 1.23%, reaching a new high. The S&P 500 index rose 0.64%, and the Nasdaq increased 0.69%, with most large tech stocks gaining. According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 18.3%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 81.7%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by March is 43.2%, with a 49.6% chance of no change, and a 7.2% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. Since the beginning of 2026, the cryptocurrency market has shaken off its previous downturn, with mainstream coins rebounding across the board. After a brief oscillation and correction yesterday, the market rebounded again, with Bitcoin breaking through 94,000 and reaching a high of 94,741, Ethereum surpassing 3,260, and the derivatives market again seeing short positions surge. Follow Yibo for continuous updates on core signals such as the implementation of Federal Reserve policies, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, with real-time updates on layout strategies and target movements.

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Bitcoin has started the year with a strong rebound pattern, becoming the main driving force behind the market recovery. Since the low point of 87,200 USD at the beginning of the year, the price has not experienced a significant correction but has steadily advanced with slight oscillations, successfully pushing up to around 94,700 USD. This rally not only helped Bitcoin regain previous losses but also demonstrated the firm confidence of bullish funds. From a technical perspective, the current price has reached the critical resistance level of 95,000 USD, which coincides with a descending trendline, forming a double resistance zone and serving as an important test of bullish strength. On the daily chart, Bitcoin has successfully stabilized above key moving averages, which are arranged in a gradually improving trend, providing technical support for the continuation of the rally. The bullish outlook remains strong. However, after consecutive gains, a short-term correction or consolidation is needed as the market digests previous profit-taking and prepares near the key resistance level. For trading strategies, currently shorting is not recommended due to lack of clear entry points; it is advisable to avoid counter-trend risks and wait until a clear top formation before considering short positions. The primary short-term strategy remains to follow the trend and buy on dips, patiently waiting for the next upward move after consolidation.

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Ethereum has also begun a strong rebound, becoming an important supporting force for the bullish market. Starting from the recent low of 2,950 USD, Ethereum’s price has continued to rise, reaching around 3,260 USD in the early hours, with a significant increase. Technically, Ethereum has now reached a critical point at the upper boundary of the daily channel, which will be a key test for the short-term trend. From the momentum perspective, Ethereum’s upward movement shows no obvious signs of technical correction, with healthy volume and price action, confirming the current bullish dominance in the market. For short-term trading, the approach is clear: follow the current main upward trend and look for further gains. If the price can successfully stabilize at the current level, the market may continue to advance, with potential upside targets around 3,350-3,420 USD. It is important to note that today’s intraday performance will be crucial, as it will determine whether the price can break through the daily upper boundary and influence the subsequent pace of the rally. Close attention should be paid to changes in volume and the effectiveness of breakouts during trading.