On January 4, 2026, at 23:00, ETH is currently trading at $3,145. The 4-hour timeframe shows a bullish bias, while the hourly chart indicates a pullback is needed. Overall, the price is oscillating at high levels. It is advisable to buy on dips rather than chase the highs. Short-term short positions should be approached with caution.

I. Key Support and Resistance Levels

- Support: 3100-3120 (short-term strong support), 3080 (bullish structure watershed), 3050 (critical pullback level)
- Resistance: 3150-3160 (first resistance), 3200-3250 (strong resistance zone)

II. Long and Short Strategies

- Bullish Strategy (Priority)
1. Entry: Enter on a rebound and stabilization around 3100-3120 with volume confirmation, or after confirming support near 3080
2. Stop Loss: Below 3050 (a break below indicates a shift to sideways or bearish)
3. Target: First aim for 3150-3160, then break through to 3200-3250, and look to push above 3300 with volume confirmation

- Bearish Strategy (Short-term hedge only)
1. Entry: When volume fails to break above 3150-3160 or if an upper shadow or weakening signals appear, try a small short position
2. Stop Loss: Above 3180 (a break above indicates bullish continuation)
3. Target: 3080-3100; exit at support levels, avoid trend-based short positions

III. Risk Management and Signals

1. Position Size: Keep short-term positions at or below 30%, with strict stop-losses; avoid chasing highs and heavy leverage
2. Signals: Monitor 4-hour MACD, volume; be cautious of pullbacks when hourly RSI/KDJ are overbought
3. Macro Factors: Watch for Fed rate cut expectations, institutional capital inflows, and regulatory developments
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