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1.1 Early Morning BTC and ETH Forecast and Analysis
I. Trend Prediction
1. BTC
In the early morning, a high probability of a rebound from oversold conditions combined with oscillating upward movement. The 87,000-87,300 range is a strong short-term support zone. The rebound from the low of 87,350.5 has shown initial momentum. The initial target for the rebound is 88,000-88,200. If trading volume supports, it can further extend to 88,500-88,800.
2. ETH
In the early morning, the main movement will be oscillating rebound and recovery. The 2,950-2,960 range is a key support zone. The rebound from the low of 2,956.02 has already formed a foundation. The short-term rebound target is 2,980-3,000. If broken through, it can rise to 3,000-3,010.
II. Core Logic
1. Technical Aspect: Both assets have fallen into a phase of overselling, with candlestick patterns showing low-level doji or bullish pillar signals indicating technical recovery needs outweigh downward momentum.
2. Capital Aspect: After the sharp decline overnight, bottom-fishing funds have started to enter the market. Although trading is light in the early morning, selling pressure has been largely released. Slight capital inflows can push prices higher.
3. Market Sentiment: Short-term panic selling is nearing its end. Market sentiment is recovering from extreme pessimism to neutrality, and bullish sentiment will gradually increase.
III. Long and Short Operation Strategies
(1) Long Strategies
1. BTC: Gradually build long positions in the 86,500-87,000 range, with stop-loss set below 86,500. Take profit targets are sequentially 88,000 and 88,500.
2. ETH: Enter long positions in the 2,945-2,955 range, with stop-loss below 2,945. The initial take profit target is 2,970, and if broken through, it can rise to 2,980.
(2) Short Auxiliary Strategies
Only attempt short positions with small size when a rebound reaches a key resistance level and shows clear signs of resistance:
1. BTC: If volume increases and price stagnates in the 88,200-88,500 range, open small short positions with stop-loss above 88,800 and take profit at 87,800-88,000.
2. ETH: If the rebound in the 2,970-2,975 range shows weakness, open small short positions with stop-loss above 2,985 and take profit at 2,950-2,955.