Gate 2025 Year-End Community Festival Market is at a critical turning point, with risks and uncertainties significantly increasing

Recently, due to ETF fund outflows and declining market liquidity, Bitcoin and Ethereum have been struggling to rise, falling into a weak consolidation. Intraday, ETH experienced a small breakout on a minor level, but it has not stabilized above the rebound line and continues to operate. It is particularly important to note that the key technical indicator for measuring volatility—the daily Bollinger Bands—has shown extreme contraction, which is usually a strong signal that the market is ending consolidation and choosing a direction.
Currently, there is dense technical resistance from moving averages above the price, increasing the difficulty of a rebound. Without clear catalysts, the market may continue to fluctuate in the short term, but a one-way breakout could occur at any time due to changes in market sentiment, increasing the risk of heightened volatility.
To the upside, look for a reversal in ETF fund inflows or major positive catalysts, accompanied by increased volume and a bullish candle breaking through moving average resistance. To the downside, be cautious of increased volume breaking below the range’s lower boundary, triggering chain reactions of selling. Short-term trading should focus on real-time market conditions for opening positions, patiently waiting for confirmed opportunities to enter!
Until the direction is clear, it is advisable to remain cautious. Short-term traders can lightly bet on rebounds at the lower end of the range, but strict stop-loss measures are necessary. Medium- and long-term traders can wait for confirmation of the range and look for opportunities on the right side. The specific real-time market trend should be based on actual trading data…
The daily chart for BTC is bearish around the 88300 level, with the next support at 86700, which is also the starting point for the recent rebound. Only a solid break below tonight’s support can lead to further decline toward the bottom range of 85000-85800. Meanwhile, position protection is essential!
Ethereum doesn’t have much to say. After a rebound in the European session, the key point also indicates 🔔 to set up a short position. In the short term, there is room for movement. As for the current market, it’s reasonable to grasp the space. Finally, I wish everyone smooth trading…