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The crypto community is now collectively confused: Is the four-year bull-bear cycle still reliable?
The last bull market saw Bitcoin reach 126,000 and then stall. The promised banana-style rapid surge never appeared; instead, it moved so slowly that people started to panic. Everyone was thinking about selling early to lock in profits. Has the old way of playing truly failed?
But if you think carefully, this bear market is no longer the same as before!
In the past, the crypto world wasn’t mainstream, institutions didn’t pay attention, and it was all about scaring retail investors into chasing highs and selling lows. Last time, the price plummeted from 69,000 to 15,000—this was how it happened. But what about now?
Retail investors have figured out the bottom-fishing logic in the bear market, and big funds like institutions, listed companies, and sovereign wealth funds have long been waiting at the bottom to scoop up chips!
With big money supporting the floor, can it still fall back to previous lows?
According to the patterns of the previous two cycles, the bear market bottom is roughly 23% below the previous bull market peak. The last cycle’s 69,000 corresponds to a bottom of about 55,000.
But with the current momentum, the actual low is very likely around 60,000, and it probably won’t drop much further!
Our common flaw as retail investors is too obvious: When Bitcoin rises to 120,000, we shout every day that it will fall back to 90,000 to buy in; but when it actually drops to the 93,000-95,000 range, we start fearing further breakdown, pulling back faster than anyone!
Don’t be foolish! As long as you believe the next bull market can surpass 126,000, buying one coin now can lock in a potential profit of 31,000 USDT. You can’t beat the market with contracts or arbitrage against market makers—ordinary people should hold coins steadily—that’s the real way!
Market dips are never risks; they are rare opportunities to pick up bargains! Don’t obsess over catching the absolute bottom. Small dips are for small buys, big dips for larger buys. Investing in stages is the safest approach.
Now, big funds are quietly accumulating chips. When the bear ends and a long bull run begins, and new retail investors enter, chips will only become more expensive!
A bear market isn’t scary; missing out on low-price chips is truly the biggest loss! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $GT $ETH