2025-11-24 03:29:27

So how will the crypto world evolve if it doesn't follow the four-year cycle?

Guess 1: The time cycle is no longer mainly influenced by halving, but rather primarily influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and cuts. The cycle is highly correlated with the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments.

Guess 2: The main trend becomes less volatile and more like the S&P 500, or like a quality US stock. There is no fixed bull and bear cycle, but the trend closely aligns with US stocks.
3. Under the influence of halving, the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments, and the S&P 500 index, it follows its own unique trend. It is influenced by these factors but does not synchronize with any of them.

Speculation 4: Highly correlated with the trends of precious metals like gold. Gradually moving towards its narrative of digital gold.

So, what trends do you think it will have?

The individual least hopes for the third scenario, as it would make retail investors' operations extraordinarily difficult.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.