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The rumors about the new head of the Fed are stirring every nerve in the crypto world. After all, whoever controls the Fed holds the "master valve" of global liquidity, and the crypto assets market has always been most sensitive to the tightening or loosening of funds.
Recently, the yield on U.S. Treasuries has begun to decline slightly, and the interest rate futures market is also subtly indicating expectations for early rate cuts—clearly, some investors are betting that the next leader will adopt a more accommodative policy. The crypto world has also quietly started: $BTC has experienced increased volatility in a short period, with some altcoins suddenly seeing net inflows of capital, and the supply of stablecoins showing signs of recovery. While all this has not yet formed a huge wave, it is enough to indicate that astute capital is positioning itself in advance.
The list of potential candidates is now largely clear: Kevin Hassett, Michelle Bowman, Chris Waller, and Rick Reed. Based on various forecasts and market trends, Hassett is currently in the lead.
The logic behind it is not complicated:
· If a "dovish chairman" arrives, liquidity is expected to remain loose, market risk appetite may rebound, and Crypto Assets may benefit;
If the "hawkish" approach continues to dominate, with tight policies and cautious investor sentiment, the market will need to continue waiting for the right opportunity.
This is not unfounded. The market has already captured signals from various clues and adjusted its strategies in advance. Once the new Fed chair is determined, the overall market sentiment may shift rapidly, and the response from the crypto world is often quicker than that of traditional markets. Ultimately, whether it is "dove" or "hawk," we shall wait and see, but it might be wise to plan your positions early.