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#ETH The current market's falling intensity is comparable to the two rounds of sharp declines in last August and this April. The only key variable that can sway the market now is Trump—however, the fall on April 9 was due to the tariff policies he led, forcing him to intervene to save the market; this crisis, on the other hand, was not directly triggered by him, as the blame for the government shutdown can be shifted to the Democrats, and the stock market decline can be attributed to "deliberate framing similar to the Lolita Island incident." He has no reason to compromise under the Fed's pressure. As a result, ordinary investors (suckers) are likely to suffer significant losses.
It is even possible that this is a precise man-made harvesting: led by AI, the US stock market has previously been skyrocketing, and the risks of a bubble have been lurking. It might be better to actively intervene and adjust when the risks are controllable, which would both reduce systemic risks and allow capital that has obtained information in advance to profit handsomely through short selling. (The above is purely speculation)
However, from the underlying logic of "sustainable harvesting", the fall will never be endless—after all, the poor (suckers) are the "long-term assets" of the rich. If the suckers are completely uprooted, there will be no buyers in the future stock market or crypto market. When market sentiment falls to the bottom, it is highly likely that we will see a "mechanical rescue" style of market recovery again, as history has repeated itself many times, and this time will surely be no exception.
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