"Crypto market strategy on Monday: False recovery or real movement?"

Last week, BTC returned to $115,000, and ETH and SOL rose alternately, indicating a clear recovery in market sentiment. However, this round of increases resembles more of a structural correction rather than the beginning of a comprehensive bull market.

1. Liquidity: Money does not increase, but begins to "move".
The current improvement in financing mainly comes from:

The expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve leads to an increased risk appetite;

The transfer of traditional funds from the bond market to the crypto market;

Exchange-traded funds enhance liquidity, but new money is limited.

In other words, the market is moving internally, rather than having new capital. If BTC cannot attract continuous inflows of money, the strength of the rebound will be limited.

Secondly, the technical aspects: the upward trend predominates, but the main upward wave has not been confirmed.

The structure of "Breakthrough - Correction - Confirmation" for BTC is complete;

The funding rate is rising, and there is an increase in buying sentiment;

On-chain data shows that the net outflow of funds from the exchange has increased, reflecting a recovery in the confidence of spot holders.

But derivative data is still weak, and starting the main wave still requires cooperation with leverage funds.

Thirdly, operational suggestions: replace attack with defense

Short-term trading:

Focus on the support area BTC 113000-115000;

You can participate in ETH and SOL lightly after stabilization.

Midfield:

If it exceeds 120,000, then we will consider increasing the purchase;

When breaking 11.3 thousand, the stop-loss should be set at the right time.

Position Management:

holding some stablecoins;

Leverage users must pay attention to the risks of forced liquidation.

Conclusion
This is not the end of the bull market, nor is it the starting point.
Now the key is to control the pace and wait for confirmation before the crypto market really explodes; patience is the greatest asset.

"The person who knows how to wait is the one who can win the round."