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Outlook on the crypto world trend for the next 2 years
1. By the end of October 2025: ETH breaks through 6000 US dollars
As the second largest coin in the crypto world, ETH is expected to break through $6000 soon. The supporting logic includes the explosive growth of the Layer2 ecosystem (TVL exceeding $80 billion, daily active users surpassing 5 million) and a 60% increase in institutional holdings; from a technical perspective, it is currently consolidating in the $4500-$5000 range, and if it breaks through $5500 after the "Dencun" upgrade, the $6000 level is likely to be breached.
2. Q4 2025: Peak of Bull Market Sentiment
Retail frenzy and institutional distribution games intensify: crypto search index rises 3-5 times, daily active users in social communities exceed 200 million, new users on exchanges surpass 10 million per month, but institutions like Grayscale will reduce their holdings. The institutional holding ratio of Bitcoin/ETH may drop from 28% to below 20%, forming a pattern of "retail taking over."
3. October 2025: The Ultimate Carnival of Altcoins
Funds are shifting from mainstream coins to altcoins, with mainstream altcoins like ETH (relative to BTC), ADA, and DOGE potentially breaking historical highs (such as ETH/BTC surpassing 0.08, ADA reaching 3.5 USD, DOGE touching 0.8 USD), but this is the last window period, and once sentiment shifts, altcoins will experience the greatest decline.
4. First Half of 2026: Period of Severe Volatility
The market has entered a "high-risk transition" phase, with Bitcoin fluctuating between $80,000 and $120,000, and ETH between $4,500 and $6,000. It has become common for altcoins to experience daily fluctuations of over 15%, and the risk of "bottom-fishing traps" is high due to tightening liquidity.
5. July 2026 - July 2027: Long Bear Market
Global interest rate hikes have tightened liquidity, causing Bitcoin to potentially drop from $180,000-$200,000 to $70,000 (a decline of over 60%), ETH to drop to $2,000 (a decline of over 65%), and 60%-70% of altcoins to break below their issue price. However, valuable projects like ETH Layer 2 have experienced smaller declines, presenting a window for investment opportunities. Let's wait and see.