ETH/USDT Perpetual 15-Minute Strategy Analysis (Based on Data from 2025-08-18 06:00)

Current market analysis:

Price: 4487.43 (near high point 4487.58), increase of 0.33%, fluctuation of 0.39%, indicating buyer dominance but low volatility.

Technical Indicators:

KDJ Overbought (J=104.95>100), short-term pullback risk is high.

The MACD histogram has turned positive (3.70), indicating an increase in upward momentum.

RSI is neutral to strong (RSI1=61.40), with no extreme overbought conditions.

The trading volume is 18,393, below the MA(10) of 21,352, but the estimated volume of 48,933 is high, indicating potential activity.

Low-risk high-return strategy: buy on dips

Logic: MACD golden cross supports upward movement, but KDJ being overbought requires a pullback to enter, reducing risk. The goal is to capture a second surge.

Entry Point: 4470-4475 (Daily Low 4470.00, Opening Price 4472.61). If the price pulls back to this area (e.g., testing the 4470 support), buy in batches.

Time: 06:15-06:30 (UTC+8) start, wait for 1-2 15-minute K-lines to confirm the pullback (avoid chasing highs).

Target: 4495-4500 (above previous high of 4487.58, profit ≈ 0.5-0.7%).

Stop loss: 4465 (below support, risk ≈ 0.1-0.2%).

End time: before 07:00 (holding 1-2 K-lines), if the target is not reached or MACD weakens, then close the position.

Risk control: Position ≤ 5%, stop loss strictly enforced. If the trading volume breaks through 4500, it can be held until 08:00, but KDJ overbought limits the upside space. Profit-risk ratio ≈ 3:1. #美7月PPI年率高于预期