#July PPI Beats Expectations 15 of August, #机器人实战策略参考

1. Market assessment and strategy selection
The technical signal of Bitcoin is now quite contradictory, the daily Bollinger band has opened slightly and then stabilized, the MACD is close to the zero line with a downward crossover trend, but not confirmed, showing a struggle between bullish and bearish; after a drop with increased volume, the volume continues to decrease, potentially entering a range of oscillations between 117,000 and 120,000 dollars;
On the 4-hour chart, the lower Bollinger band is expanding downward and the price has reached the lower band; the MACD formed a death cross and, after increasing, decreased, indicating that the bearish strength is waning in the short term, but the recovery needs to break through 120,500 dollars.
Watching the major events, the annual PPI rate soared to 3.3% yesterday ( far above the expectation of 2.5% ), weakening expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading BTC to lead a sharp decline in the market, with 210,000 liquidations in 24 hours, the market is now digesting this data and waiting for Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting on August 22; if hawkish signals are issued, this could again trigger selling pressure.
In the short term, Bitcoin shows a downward trend, testing the key support level of 116,000 dollars; if it falls below, it could drop to 113,500 dollars.
The ETH/BTC rate has surpassed the 365-day moving average, showing relative strength, but the 4-hour RSI is oversold and net flow on exchanges has increased, indicating short-term selling pressure, with support at $4,400 and resistance at $4,720.
From the perspective of ETF fund flows, the Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of 2.2 billion dollars in the last 3 days (much higher than the 330 million dollars of BTC), but after a 1 billion dollar inflow in a single day, there were call option sales, indicating that part of the funds is locking in profits.
In addition, ETH experienced a larger drop than BTC after the release of the PPI data, due to the concentration of leveraged positions, it is necessary to pay attention to the liquidity that may be affected by the expectation of tightening.
The current robot strategy that fits is the combination strategy: Martingale on spot BTC/USDT + short selling on ETHUSDT contract network.
2. Recommendations for practical strategies
Recommended strategy 1: short-term weakness, but evident support, one can position in the BTC/USDT spot martingale.
How much drop to increase the position: 1.5%;
Maximum number of increases: 6;
Profit ratio in each round: 2%;

Recommended strategy 2: possible reversal and weakness, one can position in a grid of ETHUSDT contracts for short selling.
Price range: 4320 dollars - 4820 dollars;
Leverage: 5 times;
Number of grids: 40
Expected time for strategy execution: from August 15 to August 25;

Tip: The content above is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice. You may consult more information to make reasonable investment decisions.
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