August 6, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis**
Current trend**
- **Price**: Currently reported at **$113,877** (24-hour drop of 0.76%), with an intraday fluctuation range of **$112,000–$115,800**.
- **Key Position**:
- **Support**: $113,750 (4H SAR point) → **$112,000** (bull-bear line) → $111,000 (channel support).
- **Resistance**: $114,500–$115,500 (EMA cluster) → $116,155 (Super Trend resistance).

#### **Technical Signal**
- **Bearish Structure**:
- The 4-hour chart price is below all EMAs, the MACD bars are decreasing, and the 30-minute RSI is only 41.8 (weak zone).
- Open interest decreased by 0.91%
- **Potential Rebound Opportunity**:
- If the support at $112,000 is held, it may trigger a liquidity recovery rebound, targeting $115,500.

#### 📊 **Operation Suggestions**
| **Strategy** | **Entry** | **Target** | **Stop Loss** | **Logic** |
|---------------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----------------------------|
| **Short-term Long Position** | Around $113,700 | $115,000 | $113,200 | Rebound from the lower bound of the trading channel. |
| **Short Position** | Around $115,200 | $114,000 | $115,700 | Resistance zone under pressure + macro headwinds. |

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### 📉 **3. Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis**
#### **Current Trend**
- **Price**: Currently reported at **$3,634** (24-hour drop of 2.43%), with a low of **$3,550**.
- **Key Position**:
- **Support**: $3,576 (100-day moving average) → **$3,550** (hourly liquidity pool) → $3,360 (200-day moving average).
- **Resistance**: $3,660 (VWAP baseline) → $3,720 (Bollinger Bands upper band) → $3,800 (psychological level).

#### **Long and Short Contradiction**
- **On-chain data**:
- The net outflow of the exchange in 24 hours reached **$122.7 million**, hitting a three-week high, with significant selling pressure.
- However, the daily trading volume reached 1.7 million transactions (a 15-month high), reflecting the activity level of retail investors.
- **Technical Divergence**:
- 30-minute RSI shows a bearish divergence (43.73), but the super trend has not broken below $3,497, still leaning bullish.

#### 📊 **Operation Suggestions**
| **Strategy** | **Entry** | **Target** | **Stop Loss** | **Logic** |
|---------------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----------------------------|
| **Long Position on Dips** | $3,565–$3,590 | $3,650 | $3,550 | Betting on EMA support rebound. |
| **High-altitude Single** | Around $3,670 | $3,605 | $3,701 | Resistance zone + ETF capital outflow pressure. |

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### ⚠️ **Four, Key Risk Reminders**
**Technical Breakout Signal**:
- **If BTC falls below $112,000**: It may trigger stop-loss orders to dip to $111,000 or even $107,500.
- **If ETH falls below $3,550**: it will test the $3,360 support, and the short-term structure will turn bearish.

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### 💎 **5. Summary and Strategy**
| **Assets** | **Daily Trend** | **Core Logic** | **Recommended Strategy** |
|----------|-------------|------------------------------|---------------------------|
| **BTC** | Bearish consolidation | Macro pressure + technical resistance, needs to break $116,200 to reverse | Range trading (113,700–115,200) |
| **ETH** | Long and Short Game | $3,550 is the critical line | High sell low buy (3,590–3,670) |

**Operational Discipline**:
- Position ≤ 3% of total funds, prioritize setting stop-loss (especially when ETH volatility is higher than BTC).
- Pay attention to the capital flow after the US stock market opens from **21:30–22:30 (UTC+8)**, and be wary of sudden rises and falls caused by liquidity gaps.
- If BTC breaks through $115,500 or ETH stabilizes at $3,720, a light position can be taken to go long (target +1.5% for profit taking). #Gate ETH 挖矿年化收益 5% #晒出我的Alpha积分 #加密IPO热潮