Price development trend and probability in the next 3 hours

* Continue to decline after consolidation ( Probability: 65%)
* Analysis: Given the strong bearish signal from the MACD, the resistance from the moving average system, and the weak buying reflected in the trading volume, the most likely scenario is that the price will undergo a brief consolidation or slight rebound within the current range (approximately 113,500 - 113,900). After exhausting the weak buying momentum, the price is likely to continue its downward trend, testing the previous low point (approximately 112,800) again or even seeking lower positions.
* Weak rebound ( probability: 30%)
* Analysis: Based on the oversold recovery demand of RSI, the price may attempt to rebound upwards, with the first resistance level near the short-term moving average (around 114,000 - 114,200). However, due to the lack of volume support and the suppression from multiple technical indicators above, this rebound is likely to be short-lived and weak, potentially becoming a new shorting opportunity.
* Strong reversal ( probability: 5%)
* Analysis: In the absence of significant positive news stimuli, the likelihood of the price achieving a V-shaped reversal and breaking through the major resistance zone above in the next 3 hours is extremely low.
Summary: The overall trend leans towards bearish. It is expected that within the next 3 hours, the price will mainly consolidate horizontally while looking for opportunities to continue declining. Investors should pay attention to whether the price can find support near previous low points and whether the trading volume can effectively increase during a rebound.