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[Price Trend Analysis]
K-line pattern:
The 1-hour level has recently oscillated in the 2510-2530 range, forming a short-term consolidation platform. After testing a low of 2474 yesterday, it rebounded quickly, indicating that there is strong support below 2500.
On the daily chart, a long lower shadow appeared on July 4 (2474-2603), but the rebound could not be sustained the next day, indicating significant selling pressure in the 2580-2600 range above.
Technical Indicators:
MACD: The 1-hour level DIF and DEA have formed a golden cross below the zero axis, but the histogram is contracting; at the daily level, the MACD histogram continues to shorten, indicating weakening momentum.
RSI: The 1-hour RSI (47) is hovering around the midpoint; the daily RSI (52) remains in the neutral zone, with no overbought or oversold signals.
EMA: The price on the 1-hour level is being suppressed by EMA30 (2526), while EMA7 (2518) is merging with EMA120 (2513); on the daily chart, EMA7 (2507) crosses above EMA30 (2483) forming a golden cross.
Trading Volume:
The trading volume during the 1-hour level rebound has not significantly increased (highest 15419), and the volume-price coordination is not ideal.
On the daily chart, there was a significant drop on July 4th (450,000), followed by a rebound with decreased volume the next day (430,000), indicating insufficient follow-up buying.
[Buy/Sell Points]
Entry Point 1: 2500 USDT (Integer round number support, EMA120(2513) and previous low 2474 form a strong support zone)
Buy-in point 2: 2485 USDT (daily level low point area of July 4th lower shadow line, combined with the second test level after the decrease in trading volume)
Long Stop Loss Point: 2474 USDT (If it falls below the previous low, the short-term bullish structure will be damaged, strict stop loss is required)
Sell Point 1: 2540 USDT (1-hour level EMA30(2526) combined with the integer level at the recent high resistance area)
Sell Point 2: 2560 USDT (Secondary resistance level before the rebound high of 2603 on the daily chart on July 4)
Short stop-loss point: 2580 USDT (if it breaks the previous high, the bearish momentum will be invalidated, covering potential false breakout risks)
Spacing instructions:
Long position ladder: 15 USDT intervals between 2500 and 2485 (0.6%), stop loss difference 11 USDT (<50% ladder spacing)
Short order ladder: intervals of 20 USDT (0.78%) between 2540 and 2560, with a stop-loss difference of 20 USDT (=100% ladder spacing, as it needs to cover the previous high resistance area on the daily line)