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Baumann: Interest rate cuts may occur in July
1. The impact of external factors
— Federal Reserve Chair Bowman stated that changes in government policy help reduce inflation risks.
— She believes that the impact of the new tariffs on inflation will be limited.
In addition, she pointed out that trade progress has reduced the level of economic uncertainty.
2. Geopolitics and Labor Market
The Middle East conflict may lead to an increase in raw material prices.
—The labor market remains stable, but there are signs of gradual weakening.
3. Betting Signal
- Bowman pointed out that it is time to consider adjusting interest rates.
Quote: "If inflationary pressures remain within a moderate range, a rate cut could be considered at the July meeting."