Here’s Why the Crypto Market Is Crashing as the Bitcoin Price Nears $70K Again

BTC-5,16%

The total crypto market cap just fell 4.13% to $2.44 trillion in the last 24 hours. Derivatives volume dropped 17.51%. Bitcoin liquidations surged 140.22% to $150.85 million, mostly long positions getting wiped out.

Yet in the middle of all this red, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF AUM grew to $100.05 billion, adding roughly $3 billion in a single day.

This is the confusing reality of crypto right now. Falling prices, low volume, and leveraged long liquidations point to selling pressure and weak momentum. But steady ETF inflows suggest institutional accumulation that could put a floor under price.

Here’s what’s actually happening.

  • Bitcoin-Led Macro Sell-Off
  • Leverage Unwind and Fear Sentiment
  • What Comes Next, According to CryptoCon

Bitcoin-Led Macro Sell-Off

Bitcoin led this decline. With dominance at 58.23%, Bitcoin’s drop contributed most of the total market cap loss. And this move correlated strongly with declines in the S&P 500 and Gold. Right now, the BTC price is trading slightly above $70K.

That’s key. This is a unified macro reaction.

Crypto is acting as a high-beta risk asset, highly sensitive to traditional market liquidity and inflation expectations. When traditional markets sneeze, crypto catches a cold.

The level to watch is $71,000. If Bitcoin can stabilize above that, broader market losses may stem. If not, more downside could follow.

Leverage Unwind and Fear Sentiment

The sell-off got worse because leveraged longs got forced out. BTC liquidations jumped 140% in 24 hours. This technical squeeze happened alongside a Fear & Greed Index reading of 33, reflecting widespread caution.

High leverage in the system acted like gasoline on a fire. A moderate correction turned sharper as automatic sell orders triggered.

Watch for funding rates to normalize and liquidation volumes to drop. That signals forced selling pressure is ending.

What Comes Next, According to CryptoCon

Analyst CryptoCon shared a chart showing where Bitcoin fits in historical bear market patterns. The current drawdown now lines up with last cycle’s 2022 bear market after a brief period of worse performance.

Looking at previous cycles, the pattern is clear. Cycle 1 bear in 2014. Cycle 2 bear in 2018. Cycle 3 bear in 2022. Each followed similar trajectories.

According to CryptoCon, the most likely next step is a decline to $45,000 and eventually $35,000. That’s where drawdowns from different cycles unify in a zone he calls the “Unification Zone” from June to September 2026.

“That’s not unlikely given the room most indicators have to go before bottoming out, and bottom support metrics which line up in that zone (35k – 45k),” he notes.

Source: X/@CryptoCon_

His chart shows this zone marked clearly. A move to $35,000 would represent an 86% drawdown from highs, aligning with previous cycle bottoms. The $45,000 level sits at a 77% drawdown.

“It’s the last drop that does most of the damage, which has been the part that decreases every cycle. It will be interesting to see what happens then! (October – November of this year).”

Short-term, the market faces selling pressure, leverage unwinding, and macro headwinds. But long-term, the infrastructure for institutional inflow looks solid.

For traders, the next few months could be choppy. For accumulators, lower prices might be an opportunity. Either way, the $35,000 to $45,000 zone is one to watch.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.
Comment
0/400
No comments