The US-Iran talks have collapsed

Here's a rough outline of the situation:

Iran drew a red line, the US did not accept it
The US drew a red line, Iran did not accept it

The main disagreements center on Iran refusing to give up its uranium enrichment rights, refusing to relinquish control of the Strait of Hormuz, and the Lebanese ceasefire demands.

Some details in the negotiations are quite revealing:

1) The US side's sincerity was not very strong; the delegation only hurriedly arrived on the 11th.

2) Vance, after landing, first slept for four hours to adjust to the time difference. By the time he reached the negotiation venue, the Iranian team had already listed the main points for the first round of talks.

3) An informed source said that the US side didn't even confirm the negotiation agenda with Iran in advance; they ultimately came based on the framework proposed by Iran at the last minute.

4) The US brought 300 people, a pretty large team, but given the rushed preparation, it seemed a bit mismatched. Most of them were security personnel.

5) The negotiation documents brought by the US were only a few pages thick, filled with principle-based clauses.

6) On the Iranian side, the file box was full of detailed data and draft agreements; just the technical explanations for nuclear facility security alone were over 120 pages.

Anyone with a discerning eye can see who is genuinely serious about reaching an agreement based on how solid their preparations are.

As I mentioned in my article yesterday, there is no precedent for a first-round negotiation to succeed; it’s purely about testing each other's bottom lines.

During the Korean War, China and the US held large-scale negotiations 58 times and small-scale negotiations 733 times. As the instructor said, what can't be obtained on the battlefield won't be gained at the negotiation table either.

Negotiation is a summary of war. Keep up the spirit in the second half, don’t lose face, and stay strong. #原油小幅上涨