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Just noticed oil finally broke below $100 a barrel for the first time in weeks after reports of a U.S. peace plan for the Iran situation. When geopolitical risk eases, everything else tends to follow. Bitcoin's been holding steady around $73K now, up almost 2% in the past day and looking pretty solid after last week's chaos.
The interesting part is how the whole market's been whipsawed by headlines and liquidations over the past month. BTC is basically flat since the conflict started, but alts have been getting hammered. Ethereum's up about 2% today but still down on the week, Solana's seeing some recovery with a 1.5% daily gain, and even some of the smaller caps like Litecoin are starting to show signs of stabilization as the risk-off sentiment fades.
XRP barely moved, BNB slipped a bit, but Tron was actually green on both daily and weekly timeframes. The real question now is whether this peace plan actually sticks or becomes another headline that gets denied in a few hours. If oil stays below $100, that takes a lot of inflation pressure off and makes the Fed's next move less hawkish. That's the real catalyst for risk assets this week, including crypto.
Market's been range-bound for four weeks straight, neither breaking higher nor collapsing. One concrete diplomatic move and suddenly the vibe shifts. Watching to see if this holds or if we get another whipsaw.