$BTC $ETH The large coin remains primarily bullish in the evening session, with the overall focus still on the high ground. Although the daytime outlook already provided the key levels, it still came too late. Friends who haven’t entered can watch again in the evening. The focus is to build around a push higher facing pressure. This wave of upswing is a volume-backed breakout, but follow-through has started to weaken. After multiple touches of the Bollinger upper band, it failed to effectively hold, and clear signs of stalled consolidation have appeared. In the short term, the market has entered a high-level range-bound area.

For the moving averages, MA7 is still running above, but it gradually diverges from the price. MA30 remains below and follows the trend, indicating that this rally is driven more by sentiment, and there is a structural need for a pullback. Once the short-term moving averages are broken to the downside, the strength of the retest will increase.

On indicators, even though MACD continues to maintain a bullish bias, the red histogram bars have begun to shrink, showing signs of a bearish top divergence. KDJ, after being at high levels, has a dead cross and is spreading downward; the short-term pullback signal has already appeared.

Large coin: Short around 72,300
Target: 71,000-70,000

Ethereum: Short around 2,220
Target: 2,180-2,140

If it pushes higher again without volume or quickly falls back, you can enter short positions accordingly, aiming for a pullback retracement to repair the move. Don’t keep reaching for highs—look for shorts on the spike and capture the retracement space. Control your position size and timing carefully!