Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large-level central zone, after reaching the high point of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, from the 2273 high point, a divergence-driven decline wave was completed, and the current phase is a rebound correction after the decline, without forming a new upward structure; on the 15F level, weakening occurs simultaneously, completing a full decline wave from the 2273 high point, now in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Analysis
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: Since the high of 2385.78, a large-scale central zone oscillation structure has been in place. After a rally to 2273, the price entered a pullback phase at the upper boundary of the central zone. Overall, it remains a large-scale oscillation without trend reversal.
Key evolution: Price fell back from 2273, retesting support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the central zone. If it cannot break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle Rhythm)
Structural characterization: From the low of 1936.54, the 1H upward wave, after reaching the high of 2273, shows clear divergence. Currently, it is in a downward wave after an upward move + rebound correction, with part of the downward momentum released, and the rebound strength is weak.
Key evolution: Corresponding to the high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after an upward move. If the rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue downward, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle Details)
Structural characterization: From the low of 2058.01, a strong upward wave on the 15F chart, after completing divergence at the 2273 high point, then a full downward wave was formed. Currently in a secondary rebound phase after the decline, which is an internal rebound within the 1H downward wave, part of a downward continuation structure.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170; if a strong breakout occurs, it will trigger a bottom formation on the 1H and start a new upward wave.
3. Key Resistance and Support Levels
Table: 4H 2230-2250 (Previous high + upper boundary of central zone), 2150-2160 (Previous central zone upper boundary, support/resistance flip zone), 1H 2220-2230 (Strong rebound resistance), 2160-2170 (Target of 1H downward wave), 15F 2200-2210 (First resistance of rebound), 2170-2180 (Support of 15F downward wave)
4. Future Market Movement Scenarios
Strong continuation (low probability): 15F rebound strongly breaks 2230, driving 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward wave, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Response: Do not chase longs; wait for a pullback and stabilization before making decisions; avoid opening new short positions against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, continuing the 1H downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170, completing the correction before choosing a direction.
Response: Wait for the 1H downward wave to complete and bottom pattern to be established before considering longs; if rebound is weak, consider short entries at 2220-2230 resistance.
Deep correction (neutral probability): 1H downward wave directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Response: Follow the trend for short positions; avoid bottom fishing; wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Strategy and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs or blindly open shorts: 1H is in a correction cycle, 15F is in a rebound continuation, with no absolute advantage for bulls or bears, prioritize observation.
Short opportunities: wait for 15F rebound to 2220-2230 resistance, with divergence + 1H structure resonance, then attempt short, with stop-loss above 2250.
Long opportunities: wait for 1H downward wave to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, retest support at 2160-2170, then consider longs, with stop-loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: max 2 trades per day, first loss triggers daily stop, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control first: high leverage trading must strictly stop-loss, no holding through losses, no adding positions, prioritize capital protection.
6. Summary
The current market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, avoid stubborn longs or shorts, only take high-probability setups that fit your trading system. Control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop-loss—this is the key to long-term survival.
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