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[Geopolitical Conflict Escalation, BTC Enters Chaos Mode! What Should We Do?]
Yesterday, the conflict between Iran and the US and Israel escalated, significantly increasing geopolitical uncertainty. Market sentiment was impacted, volatility intensified, and the rhythm became very chaotic. Honestly, we are currently in a phase where it's easy to get dizzy just watching.
In this situation, there's no need to rush into judgments.
First, wait for the weekly close on Monday, then observe the feedback from the global financial markets on Monday, especially the correlation between US stocks, gold, and crude oil. After the market releases its first wave of emotions, we can then organize our thoughts and update our views in the evening. The signals at that time will be clearer.
Currently, the market is oscillating back and forth, repeatedly suffering, making both bulls and bears uncomfortable. The best strategy at this stage is not to tinker frequently but to maintain a steady position.
The overall approach remains unchanged:
- If the rebound reaches the 75,000–80,000 range, follow the plan to take profits in stages, lock in gains, and reduce costs;
- If there is a downward pullback first, stay patient, hold onto your chips, and avoid panic selling.
The current market is less about technicals and more about patience.
Wait for the volatility to pass, and the trend will naturally reveal the answer.
#BTC $BTC #美以袭击伊朗 $ETH
From a structural perspective, the market still treats this as a rebound, but this rebound is unlikely to be smooth sailing. It is more likely to involve repeated tug-of-war within a range, shaking out traders and consolidating positions.
The 4-hour chart has already formed a phased correction structure, and the short-term rebound momentum is still ongoing. The first target remains near the 78,000 resistance zone. However, as seen in the chart, there is a clear oscillation range and previous high resistance above, making it prone to sharp pullbacks and false breakouts during the rebound.
It is important to note that the larger daily chart structure has not yet fully confirmed a reversal, and the trend has not truly changed. The current rebound is more of a correction after a decline rather than the start of a main upward wave.
Therefore, the 60,000 level is not considered an absolute bottom for now. If subsequent volume is insufficient or the structure breaks down, there is still a possibility of retesting lower levels for confirmation.
Overall rhythm:
Short-term rebound, mid-term caution against retests, with a focus on oscillation and correction in structure.