BTC initially fell then rose! Is the panic-driven decline or a shakeout?



Sudden outbreak of Middle East conflict causes a sharp plunge in the crypto market! Don’t be misled by panic; Bitcoin has long followed a fixed script: geopolitical conflict → short-term sharp drop → quick recovery. This pattern has repeated three times in history, and a plunge is simply a shakeout!

In 2022, the Russia-Ukraine conflict erupted, causing BTC to plummet from $38,000 to $34,300, a roughly 10% intraday drop. It then rebounded strongly over the next month, regaining above $48,000.

In 2024, as the Israel-Palestine conflict escalated, Bitcoin dipped from $67,000 to $60,908, a decline of about 8%. Within just a month, it recovered the loss and surged to $71,000.

On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel launched a joint attack on Iran. BTC dipped from a low of $66,000 to $63,000, a decline of less than 5%. Volatility continued to narrow, and market risk resistance significantly strengthened. The selling pressure caused by war is essentially a rapid shakeout driven by panic and leverage, not a trend reversal.

Currently, Bitcoin has experienced five consecutive months of correction, with the negative impact gradually weakening. The irrational decline caused by geopolitical events is precisely a stage of market reshuffling in high-volatility phases. History repeatedly shows that short-term sell-offs due to geopolitical crises are always good entry points, not signs of a true bear market.

As the Middle East situation continues to ferment, will BTC replicate its historical violent rebound? Will you choose to buy the dip or wait and see during this shakeout? #深度创作营 $BTC $XAU $ETH ‌ ‌ ‌
BTC-1,94%
ETH-1,52%
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