Short-term rebound strategy (suitable for 1-7 days, light positions, quick in and out):

• Entry: 1821-1831 with a light position ≤5%; if retracement to 1801-1791, add to 15%; at 1761-1751, add 35%.
• Partial profit-taking:
• 65% at 1885-1900
• 25% at 1950-1980
• 10% tracking above 2000 (or breaking through)
• Expected risk-reward ratio: 1:4.5+; risk is controllable.
Mid-term bottom-building DCA strategy (recommended for core position players):
• Core range: 1750-1820, invest in 5-8 batches (the lower, the heavier).
• Heavy position addition: around 1750-1780.
• Reduction reference: reduce 30% upon reclaiming 2050; gradually exit above 2200.
Long-term judgment: 1600-1850 is most likely the final entry window of this cycle; the 2026 target of 4000-6000+ still has a high probability of being achieved (historically, ETH’s bear bottom rebound was the strongest).
Risk warning:
• If macro black swan events or ETF continuous large outflows occur, losing 1800 could accelerate to 1600.
• Always prioritize stop-loss; position should not exceed 10-20% of total funds.
Today’s panic sentiment is approaching extreme, while fundamentals are quietly improving. 1800-1830 is the most optimal “greed” window in this wave.