The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut in the early hours, but BTC did not break out on the trend; instead, it experienced a “buy the rumor, sell the fact” rebound and retreat pattern. The core issue lies in the hawkish guidance for future rate hike paths—market expectations suggest the next easing window may be delayed until mid-next year. Short-term liquidity benefits have been overextended in advance, making it difficult for the news to provide sustained upward momentum.

From a technical perspective, the previous ascending triangle pattern remains intact, but the trend shows clear signs of weakness, with prices once again testing key support levels. Compared to the initial plan to enter below 90,000, current focus should shift to the defense effectiveness of the core zone around 88,000-89,000. This area is not only a previous area of high trading density but also the last short-term defensive line for the bulls.

Operational strategy:
For those already long, it is recommended to prioritize taking profits and avoid risks of pullbacks during weak volatility; those not yet entered should not rush to buy the dip. Be patient and wait for the price to retest the 88,000-89,000 support zone for confirmation. If signs of volume contraction and stabilization appear, consider establishing long positions directly. From a trend perspective, despite short-term pressure, the macro easing environment remains unchanged, and a rebound wave may still develop later. The key lies in the quality of support level defense.
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