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二探终于来了,但又和预计中的不太一样。12月到现在,即不见吸筹,也未见大规模派发。到底谁在卖?昨天下跌后才突然明白,是鲸鱼在做T!
那么跌到哪里为止呢?不知道,鲸鱼T到哪算哪,最坏的结果,也不过是跌到鲸鱼的持仓线附近。据我的观察,鲸鱼的持仓线应该在3W左右,考虑到滚仓的操作,他们的持仓成本应该在2W5甚至更低,但应该不会低于2W。
很多人把现在行情复刻6-7月,认为4W2是铁底,我对此表示怀疑,人人皆知的事情在交易市场里极不可能发生。
短线底背离,看多(反弹),目标4W55-4W6,后市看空,三探还会有。场内的多头头寸可以考虑找合适位置开空对冲。