曾經精準預言 2008 年金融海嘯、電影《大賣空》(The Big Short)本尊 —— 貝瑞(Michael Burry)警告,比特幣近期的跳水式下跌,正在金融市場引發劇烈的連鎖效應,甚至連黃金、白銀也難逃一劫,淪為機構投資人的「提款機」。
Michael Burry 周一在 Substack 發文指出,隨著加密貨幣市場重挫,許多機構投資人、企業財務主管為了填補虧損或應對流動性需求,可能被迫拋售手中其他的獲利資產,進而引發連鎖式的去槓桿效應。他寫道:

由於加密貨幣價格下跌,似乎有高達 10 億美元的貴金屬在月底被拋售。
Michael Burry 認為,今年 1 月底黃金、白銀同步走跌,主要由投機客、企業財務主管集體拋售造成。當比特幣部位虧損擴大,他們急於拋售手中仍有獲利的代幣化黃金、白銀期貨以降低風險,而這種「賣強補弱」的操作,直接拖累了貴金屬的表現。
比特幣今(4)日凌晨一度跌破 7.3 萬美元,較近期高點回檔 40% 。 Michael Burry 表示,這波修正暴露了加密貨幣基礎的脆弱性,並對持有大量比特幣的公司構成威脅,例如 Strategy(MSTR)。
Michael Burry 對比特幣後市的看法極度悲觀。他說:
從基本使用需求來看,我看不到任何理由,能讓比特幣跌勢放緩甚至止跌。
他警告稱,若比特幣價格進一步跌至 5 萬美元關卡,不僅礦業公司恐面臨大規模破產風險,就連代幣化貴金屬期貨市場,也可能會徹底崩盤,淪為「沒有買家接盤的黑洞」。
對於比特幣作為「數位避險資產」、「黃金替代品」的敘事,Michael Burry 更是嗤之以鼻。他認為,「企業儲備資產並非永久的護身符」,市場普遍寄望於企業與機構進場、將比特幣納入資產負債表,能為價格提供長期支撐,這種想法本身就站不住腳。
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