在黃金價格強勢上漲、避險資產波動加劇之際,摩根大通最新分析指出,比特幣相對於黃金的長期投資吸引力正明顯提升,並在風險調整後的表現上展現出更具潛力的上行空間。
(前情提要:Glassnode:比特幣跌穿真實均值,市場進入「空頭時間」)
(背景補充:比特幣跌破7萬美元大關!回到2024年11月水準,川普任期漲幅全部回吐)
在傳統避險資產黃金價格強勢上漲、波動性同步升高之際,華爾街重量級投行摩根大通(JPMorgan)對比特幣的長期投資價值提出新的評估。該行最新分析指出,從風險調整後的表現來看,比特幣相較於黃金的長期吸引力已顯著提升,未來潛在上行空間不容忽視。
黃金強勢後,比特幣相對吸引力浮現
Walter Bloomberg 援引摩根大通報告指出,儘管近期加密貨幣市場整體走弱,比特幣價格承壓,但摩根大通指出,市場並未出現大規模恐慌性清算,整體去槓桿過程相對有序。不過,現貨比特幣 ETF 仍持續出現資金流出,顯示短期投資情緒仍偏保守。
JPMORGAN: BITCOIN NOW MORE ATTRACTIVE THAN GOLD LONG TERM
JPMorgan says Bitcoin’s long-term appeal versus gold has improved after gold’s strong outperformance and rising volatility.
Despite recent crypto weakness, liquidations have been modest, though spot Bitcoin ETFs continue…
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) February 5, 2026
摩根大通進一步指出,目前比特幣價格已明顯低於其估算的生產成本(約為 87,000 美元)。從歷史經驗來看,當比特幣跌破生產成本區間時,往往形成所謂的「軟性底部」,為中長期價格提供支撐,也降低進一步大幅下跌的機率。
風險調整後表現轉強,長期潛力受矚目
報告的核心觀點在於,比特幣相對於黃金的風險調整後表現已顯著改善。摩根大通指出,比特幣相對黃金的波動率已降至歷史新低,顯示其價格走勢逐漸趨於成熟。在波動性下降的同時,若需求回溫,比特幣在長期仍具備可觀的上行潛力。
摩根大通的最新觀點反映出主流金融機構對比特幣態度的持續轉變。從過去的高度投機資產,逐步轉向被納入與黃金比較的長期配置選項,比特幣在全球資產配置中的角色,正悄然發生變化。

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