# 美联储

The Federal Reserve has a 97.3% probability of not cutting interest rates｜Impact on the crypto market (summary points)
According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve by March is 2.7%, with a 97.3% chance of holding rates steady. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by April is 12.5%, with an 87.3% chance of no change, and a 0.3% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 30.7%.
1. Key Conclusions
Short-term: Neutral to stable, no clear bearish signals; medium-t