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Been watching the bitcoin options market lately and there's something interesting happening. Even though BTC has bounced back from its recent lows, that fear premium in options is still hanging around pretty stubbornly. You'd think with the price recovery we'd see it fade faster, but nope.
Looking at the cumulative volume delta on some of these contracts, there's still a lot of defensive positioning. Like traders are hedging hard even as the immediate panic subsides. The bid-ask spreads are still wider than you'd normally expect for a recovery phase.
Might be worth monitoring whether this premium finally starts collapsing or if it sticks around longer. Usually when options stay this expensive relative to realized vol, it signals people are still nervous about downside risks. Classic sign that the bottom might not be fully priced in yet.