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If risk comes first, $AVAX is sitting near 9.370 USDT right now.
This is one of those spots where bad risk control can cost more than a wrong bias.
My short-term lean is still bearish.
These are the main things I care about here:
First, upside follow-through is not convincing after the latest push
Then, risk-reward starts fading when price is this extended
Also, price is trading too close to resistance for comfortable longs
If I trade this, the idea is closer to: failed sweep / rebound trap / support breakdown
Cleaner entry area: 9.445 USDT
Initial take-profit area: 8.883 USDT
Level where the idea is wrong: 9.670 USDT
Invalidation: 5m reclaims resistance / 15m reclaims the sweep high
Risk/reward: 2.50R
Protecting capital still matters more than proving a view.$AVAX