Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large-level central zone, after reaching the high of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, from the 2273 high, a top divergence downtrend was completed, and the current phase is a rebound correction after a decline, without forming a new upward structure; on the 15F level, weakening simultaneously, from the 2273 high completed a full downward move, now in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Analysis
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: Since the high of 2385.78, a large-scale central zone oscillation structure has been in place, with the price completing a rally at 2273, then entering a pullback phase along the upper boundary of the central zone. Overall, it remains a large-scale oscillation without trend reversal.
Key evolution: Price fell from the 2273 high, retesting support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the central zone. If it cannot break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle)
Structural characterization: From the low of 1936.54, the 1H upward move completed a clear top divergence at 2273, currently in a downward move after the upward move + rebound correction phase, with part of the downward momentum released, and rebound strength weak.
Key evolution: Corresponds to a high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after an upward move. If the rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue downward, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle for Details)
Structural characterization: From the low of 2058.01, a strong upward move on the 15F completed a top divergence at 2273, then a full downward move, currently in a secondary rebound after the decline, which is an internal rebound within the 1H downward move, a continuation structure.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170; if it breaks through strongly, it will trigger a bottom formation on the 1H, opening a new upward move.
3. Key Resistance and Support Levels
Table: 4H 2230-2250 (previous high + upper boundary of central zone), 2150-2160 (previous central zone upper boundary, top-bottom reversal point), 1H 2220-2230 (strong resistance during rebound), 2160-2170 (target of 1H downward move), 15F 2200-2210 (first resistance during rebound), 2170-2180 (support for 15F downward move)
4. Future Trend Projection
Strong continuation (low probability): If the 15F rebound strongly breaks through 2230, it will drive the 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward move, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Countermeasure: Do not chase longs; wait for a pullback and stabilization before making decisions; do not open short positions against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): If the 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170, completing the correction before choosing a direction.
Countermeasure: Wait for the 1H downward move to complete and bottom pattern to be established before considering longs; if the rebound is weak, consider shorting in the 2220-2230 resistance zone.
Deep correction (neutral probability): If the 1H downward move directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Countermeasure: Follow the trend for shorting, avoid bottom fishing, wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Ideas and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs, do not blindly open shorts: 1H is in a correction cycle, 15F is a rebound continuation, with no absolute advantage for bulls or bears, prioritize observation.
Short opportunities: wait for the 15F rebound to reach 2220-2230 resistance zone, with top divergence + 1H structure resonance, then attempt shorting, with a stop loss above 2250.
Long opportunities: wait for the 1H downward move to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, retest support at 2160-2170, then consider longs, with a stop loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: maximum 2 trades per day, first loss triggers a daily stop-loss, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control priority: high leverage trading must strictly stop-loss, do not hold positions or add positions, prioritize capital protection.
6. Summary
The current market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, do not stubbornly bet on longs or shorts, only take confirmed opportunities that fit your trading system. Keep discipline, control position size, and strictly stop-loss—this is the key to long-term survival.