Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large-level central zone, after reaching the high of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, from the 2273 high, a divergence-driven decline wave was completed, and the current is in a rebound correction phase after the decline, without forming a new upward structure; on the 15F level, weakening occurs simultaneously, completing a full decline wave from the 2273 high, now in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Analysis
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: Since the high of 2385.78, a large-scale central zone oscillation structure has been in place. After a rally to 2273, the price entered a pullback phase along the upper boundary of the central zone. Overall, it remains a large-scale oscillation without trend reversal.
Key evolution: Price fell from the 2273 high, retesting support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the central zone. If it cannot break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle Rhythm)
Structural characterization: From the low of 1936.54, the 1H upward wave was initiated. At the 2273 high, a clear divergence appeared. Currently, it is in a downward wave after the upward move + rebound correction phase, with part of the downward momentum released, and the rebound strength is weak.
Key evolution: Corresponding to the high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after an upward move. If the rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue the downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle Details)
Structural characterization: From the low of 2058.01, a strong upward wave on the 15F chart, completed divergence at the 2273 high, then a full downward wave followed. Currently in a secondary rebound after the decline, internal rebound within the 1H downward wave, a continuation structure of the decline.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170; if it breaks through strongly, it will trigger a bottom formation on the 1H and start a new upward wave.
3. Key Resistance and Support Levels
Table:
- 4H 2230-2250 (Previous high + upper boundary of central zone)
- 2150-2160 (Previous central zone upper boundary, support/resistance switch point)
- 1H 2220-2230 (Strong resistance during rebound)
- 2160-2170 (Target level of 1H downward wave)
- 15F 2200-2210 (First resistance during rebound)
- 2170-2180 (Support for 15F downward wave)
4. Future Market Movement Scenarios
Strong continuation (low probability): 15F rebound strongly breaks 2230, driving 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward wave, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Response: Do not chase longs; wait for a pullback and stabilization before making decisions; avoid opening new short positions against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, continuing the 1H downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170, completing the correction before choosing a direction.
Response: Wait for the 1H downward wave to complete and bottom pattern to be confirmed before considering longs; if rebound is weak, consider short entries at 2220-2230 resistance zone.
Deep correction (neutral probability): 1H downward wave directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Response: Follow the trend for short positions, avoid bottom fishing, wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Strategy and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs or blindly open shorts. The 1H is in a correction cycle, and the 15F is in a rebound continuation. Neither side has absolute advantage; observe first.
Short opportunities: wait for the 15F rebound to reach 2220-2230 resistance zone, with divergence + 1H structure resonance, then attempt short, with stop-loss above 2250.
Long opportunities: wait for the 1H downward wave to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, retest support at 2160-2170, then consider longs, with stop-loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: max 2 trades per day, first loss triggers a daily halt, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control priority: high leverage trades must strictly stop-loss, no holding through, no adding positions, prioritize capital protection.
6. Summary
Currently, the market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, avoid stubborn longs or shorts, only take confirmed opportunities that fit your trading system. Control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop-loss—this is the key to long-term survival.
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