Core Knowledge of Main Players Controlling the Market in Cryptocurrency Circles

1. Definition of Main Player Control

Main player control in the crypto circle refers to the situation where the main players hold a very high proportion of the circulating supply of a coin, usually exceeding 30%, which is considered relatively high main player control. Institutional funds, hot money from speculators, large off-market funds, and large holdings by individuals/whales all belong to controlling main players.

2. How to Check the Main Player Control Ratio of a Coin

1. Real-time Trading Volume Calculation Method
To assess main player holdings, you can calculate based on the real-time trading volume of the coin, including internal and external market transactions. The main player's buy volume for the day = ( external volume × 1/2 + internal volume × 1/10) / 2, then sum over a period of 60-120 trading days. During this period, the coin's turnover rate must be at least 100%. This cycle aligns with the main player's accumulation phase in the crypto market (generally about 2 months), with an accuracy rate over 80%, though the calculation process is time-consuming.

2. Bottom Cycle Estimation Method
For coins with obvious bottom trend features, estimate the whale's holdings by multiplying the daily trading volume during the bottom cycle by the duration of the bottom phase. The formula is:
Whale holdings = bottom cycle length × active buy volume (ignoring retail investor buy volume).
The longer the coin remains sideways at the bottom, the more accumulation by the main players; the larger the active buy volume, the more chips controlled by the main players.

3. Features of Coins with High Main Player Control

1. Abnormally Low Turnover Rate
Coins controlled mainly by the main players have most of the circulating chips, with very quiet daily trading activity. The daily turnover rate is below 1%, with extremely low trading volume, sometimes with no transactions or orders for ten minutes. Such coins are typical of high main player control.

2. Large Bullish Candles with Low Trading Volume
After high control by main players, market sell-offs are minimal. The main players only need a small amount of funds and a few small trades to easily push the price upward, directly forming large bullish candles. The upward movement faces no resistance.

Cryptocurrency markets are volatile; don’t let short-term rises and falls disturb your mind.
Understand the logic of the main players, adhere to trading principles, be patient during sideways movements, and withstand fluctuations.
With proper awareness and a stable mindset, you can firmly seize your own gains when opportunities arise.
On the investment journey, slow and steady wins the race. $BTC