2026-02-27 11:52:21

【BTC 4-Hour Continues Upward to 75,000-80,000】

From a structural perspective, the market still treats this as a rebound, but this rebound is unlikely to be smooth sailing. It is more likely to involve repeated tug-of-war within a range, shaking out traders and consolidating positions.

The 4-hour chart has already formed a phased correction structure, and the short-term rebound momentum is still ongoing. The first target remains near the 78,000 resistance zone. However, as seen in the chart, there is a clear oscillation range and previous high resistance above, making it prone to sharp pullbacks and false breakouts during the rebound.

It is important to note that the larger daily chart structure has not yet fully confirmed a reversal, and the trend has not truly changed. The current rebound is more of a correction after a decline rather than the start of a main upward wave.

Therefore, the 60,000 level is not considered an absolute bottom for now. If subsequent volume is insufficient or the structure breaks down, there is still a possibility of retesting lower levels for confirmation.

Overall rhythm:
Short-term rebound, mid-term caution against retests, with a focus on oscillation and correction in structure.

BTC-2.77%

ETH-5.55%

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橙子研究院

2026-02-13 07:02:51

[Is the true bottom of BTC not here yet? First 80K, then 50K, and finally aiming for 100K — the complete script]

Last night during the live stream, I already outlined the main direction. Here’s a brief summary (the referenced article contains more detailed logic):

The current core idea is:
First, watch BTC rebound to the 75,000–80,000 USD range. During this phase, focus on reducing positions and taking profits; then, there’s a high probability of a retest, dropping to the 54,000–60,000 USD range to find the real stage bottom. Once the second bottom is confirmed, the market will be more likely to enter a large-scale rally, with the target potentially exceeding 100,000 USD.

Therefore, the key to trading is not “holding tightly” or “blindly bottom-fishing,” but:
When there’s room for a rebound, reduce positions to lock in profits; during dips, buy back in low, using volatility to lower the average cost, so profits can be amplified.

In simple terms: survive the wave swings first, then wait for the main upward wave to take profits.

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