Rising phase. Livermore: 2.25 Review Record

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Simply put, today’s market situation. [Taogu Ba]

The market has entered a rotation phase, with previously stagnant stocks being driven up. Today, I focused on stocks related to the PCB concept. After entering early this morning, I gained about 15 points by the close.

Let’s take a look at the capital flow today. Funds mainly flowed into sectors with rising prices. The previous price-increase sectors are no longer as strongly correlated as before. This is because there is no core theme currently driving the market, so funds can only flow into sectors with rising prices. When a new theme appears, funds will exit the rising sectors, but for now, some sectors with rising prices are showing sustained upward trends, becoming mainline themes. Currently, no clear trend has emerged that can be considered a mainline. If any, the electronic fabric concept might have the potential to restart, or perhaps the oil sector driven by marginal turbulence.

Today, funds mainly flowed into PCB and rare earths. Other sectors saw some movement but no strong initiation. There were also some fluctuations in liquid cooling, commercial aerospace, AI servers, and finance, which are worth watching tomorrow, but ultimately depend on the market conditions. After CPO’s strong performance yesterday, it showed divergence today. If funds re-enter tomorrow, it’s still worth paying attention to whether there will be an acceleration in the trend.

During this rotation phase, in the coming days, many previously popular themes may rebound again. How high they can rebound depends on the amount of news stimulation. After the long holiday, the current market is prone to sharp rises but also to weakening after a surge. Even in a fundamentally sound market, there can be a rise followed by a decline. After weakening, if a rebound occurs again, that’s worth watching for a longer-term opportunity.

In this phase, each stock or sector relies on its own strength. These are mostly short-term moves lasting two or three days. If you pick the right stocks, you can gain ten or twenty points; if you pick wrong, it’s not a big deal—losing only a few points. If you insist on chasing already surging stocks, then good luck to you.

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