📊 2026-02-19 BTC Intraday Technical Strategy (as of 14:00)

Current Price: Around $66,800; Trend: 4H bearish dominance, 1H oversold recovery

1. Core Judgment

- Structure: After the high of $70,938, oscillating downward, lower highs, rebound with low volume
- Resistance: $67,600 (moving average), $68,000–$68,500 (Bollinger upper band + yesterday’s high)
- Support: $66,000 (intraday low), $65,000 (psychological + chip zone)
- Signals: 4H MACD bullish divergence, RSI at low levels for recovery; white session favors rebound resistance, main short with auxiliary long

2. Short Strategy (Main Strategy)

- Entry: Light position at $67,800–$68,000; add short at $68,300 (total position ≤20%)
- Stop Loss: $69,000 (break below indicates trend reversal)
- Target 1: $67,000 (reduce 50%)
- Target 2: $66,000 (reduce another 30%)
- Target 3: $65,000 (remaining 20%)

3. Long Strategy (Auxiliary, trial and error with small position)

- Entry: Around $66,000 (after stabilization); no additional entries
- Stop Loss: $65,500 (break below accelerates downside)
- Target 1: $67,000 (reduce 50%)
- Target 2: $67,500 (exit all)

4. Risk Control and Key Triggers

- Position: Total position ≤30%; mainly short, small long positions
- Break risk: Break below $65,000 → look toward $63,000–$64,000
- Reversal signal: Hold above $68,500 → continuation of rebound, aiming for $70,000
- Operating principles: No chasing shorts or longs; short on rebound, long at support; strict stop loss

5. Pending Order Templates (Ready to use)

- Short 1: Limit order at $68,000; Stop loss at $69,000; Take profit at $67,000 / $66,000 / $65,000
- Short 2: Limit order at $68,300; Stop loss at $69,000; Take profit at $67,000 / $66,000
- Long: Limit order at $66,000; Stop loss at $65,500; Take profit at $67,000 / $67,500