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Global Macro & Geopolitics
• Middle East Situation
◦ Trump claims to have sunk multiple Iranian vessels, tensions escalate in Strait of Hormuz
◦ IEA and multiple countries release 400 million barrels of oil reserves, oil prices surge then pullback (91→88)
• Fed Expectations
◦ Goldman Sachs and other institutions postpone rate cut forecasts to September, reduce full-year rate cut projections
◦ Dollar index strengthens in the short term, 10-year US Treasury yield