Polymarket prediction events show that a new address purchased approximately $100,000 worth of "No" position at 88.4¢, with current unrealized gains of around $70. This event is affected by the evolution of the US-Iran situation, with Trump delaying military strikes while Iran denies negotiations, leaving regional tensions with continued uncertainty.

ある予測市場プラットフォーム上で、トークン発行予測の正確率が87.5%のアカウントが、8400ドルを投入してEdgeXが3月31日までにトークンを発行するかどうかの「いいえ」オプションを購入した。現在の確率は36%に下がっている。EdgeXはこの期日までに正式にガバナンストークンをリリースする必要があり、公式はエアドロップの開始を発表している。条件を満たすユーザーはエアドロップに申請できる。このアカウントの取引行動は、単なるイベントへの賭けではなく、特定のタイミングで利益確定や損切りを行う傾向を示している。

Polymarket platform trader reachingthesky increased $25,000 to over $3.7 million in 5 days, primarily profiting through predictions on European football matches, including a $3.75 million profit bet on Paris Saint-Germain. His strategy will expand to Italian and German leagues.

Gate News Alert: On March 19, according to Lookonchain monitoring, trader BlueHorseshoe86 placed a $92,000 bet on the prediction market platform Polymarket, predicting that the United States and Iran will reach a ceasefire before April 15 or April 30. This trader previously profited $260,000 by betting on the "Maduro step down" event.

Gate News – On March 19, in Polymarket's "NBA Regular Season Lakers vs. Rockets" prediction event, an account with profits exceeding $1.1 million placed a $150,000 bet on the Rockets defeating the Lakers at an opening price of 53.9¢. The NBA regular season Lakers vs. Rockets game will begin at 9:30 AM Beijing time this morning. The NBA regular season is currently in its final stage, with the Lakers posting a 43-25 record and ranking 3rd in the Western Conference; the Rockets have a 41-26 record and rank 4th in the Western Conference.

On Polymarket, two accounts invested $23,800 betting that Kevin Warsh has no hope of being confirmed by the Federal Reserve, with the current probability at 94%. If not confirmed by the Senate, the bet will be settled otherwise. Powell faces investigation but is determined not to resign, and key senators have indicated they will reject new nominees.

最近、イスラエルのネタニヤフ首相の健康状態に関する噂が注目を集め、多くのユーザーが予測市場で彼が3月31日までに辞任することに賭けています。ネタニヤフは新しい動画を通じて釈明を試みましたが、依然として疑問視されており、その動画はAIによる合成の可能性があると考えられており、議論を解消できていません。

Polymarket prediction markets show that an account has bet $90,000 on the Iranian regime collapsing before April 30 and June 30, with current odds at 23.5¢. There are clear factional divisions within Iran, Supreme Leader Khamenei has not made public appearances, and there is an emphasis on a hardline foreign policy stance.

On March 13, monitoring data showed that on the prediction market Polymarket, 2 new addresses bet that Netanyahu will step down within the year, with a total open position of 10,100 USD, and the current probability at 47%. Although Netanyahu enjoys 53% trust support in polls, the wartime environment has limited opposition forces.

On March 13, an investor placed a $3,700 bet on Polymarket, wagering that the United States will escort commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz before April. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that escort operations will be based on military conditions and international coalition cooperation, requiring first achieving air superiority. The trader may be engaging in tactical short-term profit-taking or stop-loss operations.