TRUMPミームコイン、史上最高値から96％急落 大統領の支持率低下に伴い

President Donald Trump’s official Solana-based meme coin, Official Trump (TRUMP), has fallen to approximately $2.90, representing a 96 percent decline from its all-time high of $73.43 reached in January 2025 ahead of his second term inauguration.

The token’s decline coincides with shifting polling data showing the president’s disapproval rating climbing to 58 percent on prediction markets, as geopolitical tensions with Iran continue to generate market volatility.

TRUMP Token Price Performance

Current Trading Levels

TRUMP traded near $2.90 on March 11, 2026, down approximately 1 percent over 24 hours and more than 15 percent over the past week. The token briefly touched $2.87 overnight, marking its lowest price since the initial trading window following its January 2025 launch.

This represents a 96 percent decline from the all-time high of $73.43 achieved just before Trump began his second term. The token’s market capitalization has contracted accordingly, reflecting sustained selling pressure despite broader cryptocurrency market recovery.

Decoupling from Broader Market

Unlike major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have rebounded to $70,137 and $2,041 respectively, TRUMP has failed to participate in the broader market recovery. Bitcoin has risen approximately 1.5 percent over 24 hours, pulling most of the crypto market with it, while TRUMP remains in negative territory.

This decoupling suggests that the meme coin’s price action is increasingly driven by factors specific to its political branding rather than general crypto market dynamics.

Political Sentiment and Approval Ratings

Prediction Market Indicators

Myriad, a prediction market platform, shows that traders have flipped negative on President Trump’s approval rating over the past week. The odds have shifted from nearly even 50-50 to favoring disapproval at 58 percent as of March 11.

This data now more closely mirrors traditional polling aggregated by analyst Nate Silver, which shows Americans rating the president around 54.8 percent disapproval. The correlation between political popularity and asset price suggests investors are liquidating positions due to perceived risk from internal and external instability.

Geopolitical Context

President Trump stated on March 9 that he thought the conflict in Iran was “very complete, pretty much,” briefly calming broad financial market volatility. However, late Monday he made fresh threats regarding oil flows, warning that “death, fire, and fury will reign” should Iran stop the flow of the natural resource.

These escalating geopolitical tensions have generated volatility that disproportionately affects assets directly linked to political branding.

World Liberty Financial Token Performance

WLFI Price Action

The Trump-backed World Liberty Financial token (WLFI) rose 1.4 percent over 24 hours to trade near $0.10, showing better short-term performance than TRUMP. However, the token recently set a new trading low over the weekend, touching $0.094 for the first time since becoming freely tradable.

At current levels, WLFI remains 69 percent below its all-time high. The DeFi protocol has faced scrutiny over a $500 million investment from the UAE in the Trump-aligned crypto business.

Protocol Developments

World Liberty Financial recently held a conference at President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida, maintaining high-profile visibility despite the token’s weak price performance. The protocol continues to operate amid ongoing political and regulatory attention.

Technical Levels and Market Outlook

Key Support and Resistance

The $2.80 level represents a critical support zone for TRUMP. If trading volume can defend this level, the token may stabilize in the current range. However, failure to hold support could lead to further downside price discovery.

Resistance levels have formed near the $3.00-$3.20 range, where selling pressure has consistently emerged during recent recovery attempts.

Market Sentiment

Data from CoinGecko confirms markedly bearish sentiment for TRUMP, with the token underperforming both the broader crypto market and other Trump-related assets. The correlation between political popularity metrics and token price suggests continued sensitivity to approval rating fluctuations.

FAQ: TRUMP Meme Coin Decline

Q: How much has the TRUMP meme coin declined from its peak?

A: Official Trump (TRUMP) has fallen approximately 96 percent from its all-time high of $73.43 achieved in January 2025, currently trading near $2.90.

Q: Why is TRUMP underperforming while Bitcoin and Ethereum recover?

A: The token has decoupled from broader crypto market dynamics, with its price action increasingly driven by political sentiment and approval ratings rather than general market trends. The correlation between President Trump’s disapproval rating and TRUMP’s price suggests investors are responding to political and geopolitical uncertainty.

Q: What is President Trump’s current approval rating according to prediction markets?

A: Myriad prediction market shows disapproval odds at 58 percent, shifted from nearly even 50-50 odds over the past week. Traditional polling aggregated by Nate Silver shows approximately 54.8 percent disapproval.

Q: How is the World Liberty Financial token (WLFI) performing?

A: WLFI trades near $0.10, up 1.4 percent over 24 hours but remains 69 percent below its all-time high. The token recently touched a new low of $0.094 over the weekend.