BTC & SOL Correlation Trading Plan (2026-02-15 09:45)

1. Core Market Contradictions

- BTC: Rapidly fell back from 69,900 to 69,500, accompanied by long liquidation and increased active selling volume, short-term correction pressure is high; retail investors are predominantly bullish, large account numbers are bearish, market disagreements are intensifying.

- SOL: Fell from 88.85 to 87.65, with increased active selling volume, small long positions liquidated; retail investors are significantly bullish, large account numbers are bearish, positions are near balance.

- Correlation: Both are in a high-level correction phase. BTC, as the market leader, dominates, while SOL has greater elasticity, making it suitable as a hedge or leverage tool.

2. Cross-Asset Hedging Strategies

Strategy 1: Short BTC + Short SOL (Same Direction Amplification)

- Suitable Scenario: Expecting the market to continue correcting, with SOL showing greater elasticity.

- BTC: Light short position at 69,800-70,000, stop loss at 70,200, target 69,000-69,200.

- SOL: Light short position at 88.50-88.85, stop loss at 89.00, target 87.00-87.20.

- Position Ratio: BTC:SOL ≈ 2:1, total position not exceeding 15% of capital.

Strategy 2: Short BTC + Long SOL (Inverse Hedge)

- Suitable Scenario: Expecting BTC to correct but SOL to have independent positive momentum, or SOL to rebound from oversold levels.

- BTC: Light short at 69,800-70,000, stop loss at 70,200, target 69,000-69,200.

- SOL: Light long at 87.00-87.20, stop loss at 86.80, target 88.00-88.20.

- Position Ratio: BTC:SOL ≈ 1:1, to hedge systemic risk.

Strategy 3: Wait and See for Stabilization

- Trigger Conditions: BTC stabilizes above 69,600 or SOL above 88.00, with active buying volume continuing to grow.

- Action: Wait for market sentiment to clarify before choosing a direction, to avoid chasing rallies or selling in panic.

3. Risk Control

- Single asset position not exceeding 10% of capital, total positions not exceeding 20%.

- All positions must have stop-loss orders, strictly enforced. #当前行情抄底还是观望？

- If BTC drops below 69,400 or SOL drops below 87.60, reduce positions or exit unconditionally. #Gate广场发帖领五万美金红包 $BTC ‌$SOL ‌