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Probability of December Rate Hike Surpasses 30%: How Shifting Expectations Reveal the Macro Logic Behind Crypto Assets

Probability of December Rate Hike Surpasses 30%: How Shifting Expectations Reveal the Macro Logic Behind Crypto Assets

Inflation has exceeded expectations, and both CPI and PPI data have surged past forecasts. As a result, the market now sees a 35% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December, with any expectations of a rate cut completely off the table.

Blog Team05/14/2026

PPI Surges 6%, Triggers Rate Hike Expectations as Bitcoin Falls Below $80,000: Is the Inflation Hedge Narrative Failing?

PPI Surges 6%, Triggers Rate Hike Expectations as Bitcoin Falls Below $80,000: Is the Inflation Hedge Narrative Failing?

This article compares the performance differences between Bitcoin and gold during the high inflation period of 2021–2022. It introduces Walsh’s "AI Deflation Theory" perspective and examines the real effectiveness of Bitcoin’s inflation-hedging properties in today’s macroeconomic environment.

Blog Team05/14/2026

In-Depth Analysis of May’s Macroeconomic Data and Projected Impact on the Crypto Market

In-Depth Analysis of May’s Macroeconomic Data and Projected Impact on the Crypto Market

Analyzing the release schedule and logic of key US macroeconomic data from May 8 through the end of May—including Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, and FOMC minutes—to assess how shifting interest rate cut expectations may impact crypto assets.

Blog Team05/08/2026

Gate Ventures Weekly Crypto Recap (April 20, 2026)

Gate Ventures Weekly Crypto Recap (April 20, 2026)

US Markets Rally as Geopolitical Tensions Ease and Tech Outperforms, March CPI and PPI Data Shows Persistent Inflationary Pressures

Blog Team04/20/2026

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Rising Stagflation Risks: How Surging PPI Forces the Fed to Delay Rate Cuts and Impacts Global Assets

Rising Stagflation Risks: How Surging PPI Forces the Fed to Delay Rate Cuts and Impacts Global Assets

U.S. January PPI rises 2.9% year-over-year, beating expectations; core PPI hits an 11-month high. Surging service costs spark concerns over stagflation, dampen rate-cut expectations, and put pressure on U.S. equities. This article breaks down the data structure, explores market divergences, and provides a macroeconomic outlook.

Blog Team02/28/2026

PPI Data Sparks Rate Cut Expectations! Fed's December Move Now Has an 85% Probability

PPI Data Sparks Rate Cut Expectations! Fed's December Move Now Has an 85% Probability

U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail data for September both came in weaker than expected, sharply raising market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. This potential policy shift could soon reshape the global asset landscape.

Blog Team11/26/2025

Gate Ventures Weekly Crypto Recap (September 08, 2025)

Gate Ventures Weekly Crypto Recap (September 08, 2025)

This week’s economic data includes the US CPI, PPI, UoM sentiment and monthly budget statement.

Blog Team09/08/2025

Weekly Web3 Research | Market Saw an Upward Trend; HK BTC ETF Showed Net Redemption for 3 Consecutive Days; Circulation of USDT on TON chain reached $200M

Weekly Web3 Research | Market Saw an Upward Trend; HK BTC ETF Showed Net Redemption for 3 Consecutive Days; Circulation of USDT on TON chain reached $200M

The crypto market is experiencing a weekly surge in prices. The Hong Kong BTC ETF has shown net redemption for three consecutive days. The US recorded an annual PPI rate of 2.2% in April.

Gate.io Researcher：Charles T.05/17/2024

Daily News | BTC consolidated at a high level above $70K; JPMorgan Chase stated a "downturn" in crypto venture capital poses a downside risk; Bouncebit to launch BTC-staked stablecoins

Daily News | BTC consolidated at a high level above $70K; JPMorgan Chase stated a "downturn" in crypto venture capital poses a downside risk; Bouncebit to launch BTC-staked stablecoins

US March PPI data rose, but key points eased. The US stock market surged, with tech giants Nvidia and Apple surging 4%. Gold continues to reach a new historical high.

Gate.io Researcher：Sherry S. & Icing.04/12/2024